ARK Report: Bitcoin's 2030 Target of $1.5 Million, AI Driving Transformation Across Multiple Sectors

2025-08-05 05:34:30

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Crypto Market Annual Report: Bitcoin May Reach $1.5 Million, AI Drives Transformation

On February 5th, ARK Invest released its annual "Big Ideas" report, introducing future technology development trends in 11 aspects including artificial intelligence, Bitcoin, and public chains. The report predicts that by 2030, Bitcoin could reach $1.5 million, and AI agents will bring about epoch-making changes.

The report presents 11 "big ideas" that showcase the tremendous changes happening today. These ideas are expected to significantly boost productivity, fundamentally transform various industries, and create long-term investment opportunities.

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The following is a summary of 5 key "big ideas" in the report:

1. Bitcoin: The Global Currency System is Becoming More Mature

Bitcoin reached a historic high in 2024
Bitcoin spot ETF becomes the most successful ETF in history.
After the 4th halving, the Bitcoin inflation rate fell below the long-term supply growth of gold.
Bitcoin's annual volatility has dropped to a historical low, and risk-adjusted returns still outperform most assets.
Despite the halving leading to a decline in revenue, Bitcoin's hash rate has reached a new high.
The trading volume has surged, thanks to the Runes protocol.
Bitcoin successfully absorbed significant selling pressure in 2024.
More and more listed companies hold Bitcoin
Bitcoin total cost basis hits a new high
The transaction speed of Bitcoin and holding behavior highlight its value storage function.
Expected Bitcoin price target for 2030: $1.5 million/BTC

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2. Acceleration of Artificial Intelligence Computing Development

By 2030, AI computing performance per dollar is expected to increase more than 1000 times.
The advancement of AI will unleash huge market opportunities.
The technological revolution accelerates integration
The development of neural networks accelerates the advancement of other disruptive technologies.
AI, energy storage, and public chains are crucial for technological advancement.
The technological inflection point should bring about a GDP inflection point.
Disruptive innovation or gradually dominate the market

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3. AI Agents: Redefining Interaction and Workflow

AI Agents accelerate the popularization of digital applications, bringing a revolution in human-computer interaction
AI is accelerating hardware and software adoption
AI Agents change the way consumers search and discover
By 2030, AI advertising revenue is expected to account for more than 54% of the digital advertising market.
By 2030, AI shopping may account for 25% of global online sales.
Digital wallets are expected to continue expanding their share in the e-commerce market.
Digital wallets integrate financial services and e-commerce
AI purchasing agents may become the core of the shopping journey
AI Agents enhance productivity in enterprises through software
The decrease in AI costs will impact the AI Agents economy.
AI is reshaping the software value chain
AI will enhance knowledge work

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4. Stablecoins: Reshaping the Digital Asset Space

The trading volume of stablecoins in 2024 exceeds that of Visa and Mastercard.
Stablecoin trading volume hit a record high in December 2024
Ethena Labs' new stablecoin is growing rapidly
The supply of stablecoins and the number of active addresses have reached new highs.
Digital assets are converging towards the US dollar.
Layer 2 attracts retail stablecoin investors
P2P trading and personal wallet storage are the main use cases.
The four major stablecoin issuers dominate revenue
Tether's financial performance is outstanding
The increase in stablecoins boosts the demand for collateral in U.S. Treasuries
Stablecoin issuers transfer risk-free interest rates to users
By 2030, stablecoins may account for 0.9% of the global M2 supply.

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