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#打榜优质内容# What does the Fed's interest rate cut mean for Bitcoin?
The market's expectations for the Fed to soon start a rate-cutting cycle are becoming increasingly strong. Although this is an event in the traditional financial sector, its impact on the crypto market, especially Bitcoin, is profound. So the question arises: if the Fed cuts interest rates, how will Bitcoin respond? Is it the starting point of a new bull market, or a short-term speculative opportunity?
💡 A rate cut, simply put, means "money is cheaper". In the traditional financial system, interest rates represent the cost of money. The essence of the Fed's rate cut is to make borrowing cheaper, increase the amount of money in the market, and encourage people to consume and invest more. Once rates are cut, liquidity in the market increases, and investors' risk appetite rises. In other words: with more money, people are also more willing to take risks. In this context, risk assets (like Bitcoin) usually become beneficiaries.
📈 The Triple Benefits of Rate Cuts for Bitcoin
First, Bitcoin is a risk asset.
In the eyes of traditional finance, Bitcoin is highly volatile and is a typical high-risk, high-return asset. When market interest rates decline and the returns on stable assets decrease, funds often seek "more exciting" directions. Bitcoin, of course, is one of the popular choices.
Second, the expectation of US dollar depreciation highlights Bitcoin's anti-inflation properties.
Interest rate cuts are often accompanied by monetary easing, and investors worried about the depreciation of the dollar tend to choose scarce assets like gold and Bitcoin to "preserve value."
Thirdly, the on-chain ecosystem will heat up.
With more funds and speculative sentiment coming together, it's not just Bitcoin; DeFi, NFTs, Layer 2, and various new concept projects will also benefit.
🔁 Review of History: The Bull Market Triggered by the Interest Rate Cut in 2020
Do you remember 2020? The Fed directly lowered interest rates to 0 and launched an unlimited quantitative easing policy. The result was:
📌 Bitcoin surged from $5,000 to over $60,000
📌 DeFi lock-up surges, NFT takes off
📌 Institutions are entering the market, and the cryptocurrency space can be said to have entered the mainstream spotlight. The underlying logic of that bull market is simply that "there is too much money."
⚠️ A rate cut is beneficial, but it's not a万能钥匙.
It is important to note that while interest rate cuts are generally beneficial for the crypto market, they are not a "magic wand" for "ever-increasing" prices.
The positive news is hyped in advance: sometimes the market will eat up the gains during the anticipation phase, and when the interest rate is actually lowered, it turns into "positive news being realized, price correction."
Regulatory policy uncertainty: Even with ample liquidity, if regulatory agencies like the SEC continue to take action against the coin industry, it will dampen market sentiment.
The macroeconomic environment remains important: if the backdrop of interest rate cuts is an economic recession, then even with more money, investors may be more cautious, which could suppress speculative sentiment.
✅ Summary: The bullish signals are clear, and the timing is key. From historical experience and market logic, the Fed's interest rate cuts are indeed a significant benefit for Bitcoin:
✔️ Increased liquidity makes it easier for money to flow into risk assets.
✔️ The weakening of the dollar makes scarce assets more attractive.
✔️ Investor risk appetite increases, market sentiment warms up